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The mechanisms of protest and revolution have been the subject of theoretical research for over a century, yet the lack of data has hindered the empirical validation of conflicting theories.

In this book, the author presents a unique new set of sub-daily data from over thirty countries and seven civil wars and uses them to test two models of conflict, the predator-prey model and the competing species model.

The dynamic nature of the data modeling and the novelty of the dataset make this work a unique contribution to the field of conflict research. Dynamics of Conflict will help to re-evaluate existing theories and charts a new course towards the formal and statistical modeling of conflict.

Table of Contents

1 Introduction to the Problem Set 1

2 The Dynamic Relationship Between Protest and Repression in Democratic Countries 13

3 The Dynamics of Protest and Repression in Dictatorships and Democratic Transitions 33

4 Varied Dynamics of Bandwagon Mobilization 51

5 Dynamics and Stability in Civil Wars 65

6 Conclusion: Stability in Conflict 81

Index 87

90 pages, Hardcover